Possible scenario
Managed Prosecution
42% Chance
The arrest becomes a high-profile but institutionally contained corruption case. Courts, the Attorney General, the CID and CIABOC move cautiously to avoid claims that President Anura Kumara Dissanayake's government is using prosecutions for political revenge.
Portfolio impact
S&P 500-0.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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