Possible scenario
Security Concerns Cap Demand
20% Chance
The February 2025 Bybit hack remains a major institutional due-diligence issue, even if the new collateral product is operationally separate. Adoption continues, but some funds and brokers wait for proof that tokenized collateral cannot be frozen, misused or trapped in an exchange failure.
Initial impacts
- Bitcoin Down
Secondary impacts
- Technology -0.1%
Tickers
- COIN+0.3%
- BEN+0.2%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500-0.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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