Possible scenario
Graham Holds Advantage
55% Chance
Darline Graham remains the most likely winner because South Carolina’s federal electorate still leans Republican, Trump’s endorsement helps unify the GOP base, and Lindsey Graham’s name recognition remains valuable. Annie Andrews may gain attention from the debate, but she faces a difficult statewide partisan map.
Secondary impacts
- Energy +0.2%
- Industrials +0.1%
- Healthcare -0.1%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500+0.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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