Possible scenario
Andrews Gains Momentum
22% Chance
Andrews turns the lone debate into a statewide organizing and fundraising moment, especially if Graham appears overly scripted or too dependent on Trump’s backing. This path requires unusually strong Democratic turnout and continued movement among suburban independents.
Initial impacts
- Market volatility Up
Secondary impacts
- Healthcare +0.2%
- Energy -0.1%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500-0.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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