Possible scenario
Compromise Extends Timeline
25% Chance
Council members amend the deal after pressure from carriage drivers, unions, and Central Park tourism businesses. The ban survives, but implementation is stretched to avoid sudden job losses and logistical problems placing dozens of horses.
Portfolio impact
S&P 5000.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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