Possible scenario
Permitting Fight Slows
25% Chance
Environmental groups, state regulators, or affected communities challenge the administration's use of the DPA for refinery expansion. The legal and permitting fight slows construction and reduces the near-term credibility of the diesel-supply response.
Initial impacts
- Oil prices Down
Secondary impacts
- Energy -0.2%
Tickers
- DK-3.3%
- VLO+0.6%
- +0.5%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500-0.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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