Possible scenario
Opposition Persists
22% Chance
Community groups and local officials remain focused on power demand, water use, noise and tax fairness rather than one-time funding. The pledge fails to reverse the broader backlash, leaving a meaningful portion of Amazon's US data-center pipeline delayed or redesigned.
Secondary impacts
- Technology -0.3%
- Non-Energy Materials -0.1%
- Industrials -0.1%
- Utilities +0.1%
Tickers
- AMZN-0.5%
- AEE+0.2%
- +0.1%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500-0.2%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
Keeping an eye on this scenario?
Tilt can alert you when its probability or impact shifts, or send you a recommendation when it crosses a threshold.