Possible scenario
Visibility Is Reduced
25% Chance
Airshow organizers and Moroccan officials try to defuse tensions by reducing public-facing Israeli branding, moving events indoors, or canceling media appearances. The pavilion technically remains part of the show, but its commercial and diplomatic value is diluted.
Secondary impacts
- Industrials -0.5%
- Consumer Services -0.1%
Tickers
- ESLT-1.2%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500-0.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
Keeping an eye on this scenario?
Tilt can alert you when its probability or impact shifts, or send you a recommendation when it crosses a threshold.