Possible scenario
Political Backlash Widens
18% Chance
The controversy moves from street protests to parliamentary and party politics, with opposition factions demanding scrutiny of defense cooperation with Israel. Rabat is unlikely to abandon the Abraham Accords framework, but it may slow or obscure future public-facing security cooperation.
Secondary impacts
- Industrials -0.2%
Tickers
- ESLT-0.9%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500-0.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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