Possible scenario
Rule Narrowed
30% Chance
Industry consultation persuades ASIC and Treasury that a total ban could reduce liquidity and push Australian users offshore. The final framework focuses on disclosure, best execution, and ring-fencing rather than a blanket prohibition on all principal activity.
Initial impacts
- Bitcoin Up
Secondary impacts
- Finance +0.1%
Tickers
- COIN+0.6%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500+0.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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