Possible scenario
Enforcement Comes First
15% Chance
ASIC uses existing financial-services and consumer-protection powers before the new rule is finalized. This would be consistent with its recent willingness to sanction crypto intermediaries and would increase perceived legal risk for exchanges operating in Australia.
Initial impacts
- Bitcoin Down
Secondary impacts
- Finance -0.2%
- Technology -0.1%
Tickers
- COIN-0.7%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500-0.1%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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