Possible scenario
Sentence Mostly Stands
45% Chance
The most likely path is that Brett Blackman challenges the conviction or sentence, but the core prison term and restitution findings largely survive review. Federal healthcare fraud sentences of this scale are difficult to overturn absent trial error, sentencing-guideline miscalculation, or cooperation that materially changes the record.
Portfolio impact
S&P 5000.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
Keeping an eye on this scenario?
Tilt can alert you when its probability or impact shifts, or send you a recommendation when it crosses a threshold.