Possible scenario
Sentence Largely Stands
45% Chance
The most likely path is that Harvey Weinstein’s New York conviction and 15-year sentence survive the first round of appeals. The retrial followed the 2024 reversal, and the sentencing gives prosecutors a concrete judgment to defend before the Appellate Division, First Department.
Portfolio impact
S&P 5000.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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