Possible scenario
Custody Questions Dominate
20% Chance
The biggest practical issue may become where Weinstein serves time and how the New York sentence interacts with the separate California conviction. Given his age and reported health issues, custody logistics could matter more than additional courtroom milestones.
Portfolio impact
S&P 5000.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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