Possible scenario
Appeals Gain Traction
25% Chance
Weinstein’s defense is likely to continue arguing that the retrial suffered from unfair evidentiary or procedural rulings. While a full reversal is less likely than affirmance, the history of the 2024 overturned conviction makes appellate litigation a meaningful path.
Portfolio impact
S&P 5000.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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