Possible scenario
Campaign Damage Deepens
38% Chance
The allegation becomes a defining issue in Roger Marshall's 2026 race because it links medical debt, warrants, and pregnant women in a vivid way. Democratic campaigns and allied groups keep the story in rotation while Marshall argues the coverage misrepresents his role and the court process.
Portfolio impact
S&P 5000.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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