Possible scenario
Paxton Recovers Late
36% Chance
Ken Paxton survives the Democratic spending surge as Texas's partisan fundamentals reassert themselves. Republican voters consolidate late, national GOP groups increase spending, and Talarico falls short despite a competitive race.
Portfolio impact
S&P 5000.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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