Possible scenario
Protests Intensify
24% Chance
Activist groups use the 1-1 draw to keep pressure on Irish football authorities and the government. Demonstrations become larger and more organized, raising operational risks for future Israel-related fixtures but still remaining below the threshold for a major geopolitical shock.
Secondary impacts
- Consumer Services -0.2%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500-0.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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