Possible scenario
Singapore Reconsiders Scope
20% Chance
Singapore could face pressure to revisit whether a locally based team, foundation, or service provider creates a sufficient nexus for oversight. This would not necessarily mean an immediate enforcement action, but it would revive questions created by Singapore's 2025 tightening of overseas crypto licensing.
Initial impacts
- Bitcoin Down
Secondary impacts
- Finance -0.2%
- Technology -0.1%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500-0.1%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
Keeping an eye on this scenario?
Tilt can alert you when its probability or impact shifts, or send you a recommendation when it crosses a threshold.