Possible scenario
Backups Contain Damage
45% Chance
Ukraine uses previously migrated government data, mobile rerouting, and emergency satellite links to limit the effect of the data center strikes. The attack disrupts local connectivity in Kyiv and Dnipro but does not cause a nationwide digital-services failure.
Initial impacts
- Riskier companies' borrowing costs Down
- Market volatility Down
- US dollar Up
Secondary impacts
- Technology +0.1%
Tickers
- +0.2%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500+0.1%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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