Possible scenario
Partnership Model Holds
35% Chance
The market concludes that SpaceX's direct-to-phone push is more likely to expand wholesale connectivity than replace national carriers. T-Mobile works to reframe Starlink as a coverage asset, limiting fears that SpaceX will immediately bypass mobile operators.
Secondary impacts
- Telecommunications +2.2%
- Technology +0.7%
Tickers
- TMUS+4.6%
- SPCX+4.4%
- VZ+2.6%
- T+2.4%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500+0.3%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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