Possible scenario
Project Faces Delays
25% Chance
The pipeline plan runs into engineering, permitting, financing or territorial coordination problems. Gulf officials continue to endorse the concept, but markets discount its ability to relieve the current export shock.
Initial impacts
- Market volatility Up
- Oil prices Up
Secondary impacts
- Energy +0.9%
- Industrials -0.5%
- Consumer Services -0.3%
- Non-Energy Materials +0.2%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500-0.3%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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