Possible scenario
Deal Averts Walkout
45% Chance
Apache and union negotiators use the strike mandate to secure a revised pay or rota agreement before any material stoppage. This is the most likely path because operators and the UK government have strong incentives to avoid further tightening a Brent market already trading above $120.
Initial impacts
- Oil prices Down
Secondary impacts
- Energy -0.2%
Tickers
- APA+1.3%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500-0.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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