Possible scenario
Trump Delays Decision
25% Chance
Trump praises Vance but postpones a formal endorsement to preserve leverage over the party. This keeps Vance as the favorite while allowing Rubio, DeSantis, and others to court donors and activists quietly.
Initial impacts
- Market volatility Up
Secondary impacts
- Finance +0.1%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500+0.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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