Possible scenario
Ramaswamy Comeback Win
33% Chance
Ramaswamy narrows the race through heavy advertising, national Republican fundraising, and stronger-than-expected conservative turnout. The poll proves to have overstated Acton's support or captured a temporary post-primary advantage.
Portfolio impact
S&P 5000.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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