Possible scenario
Civil Case Advances
38% Chance
A federal judge finds enough factual basis to test whether Jared Kushner acted as a de facto government officer during Trump administration Middle East diplomacy. The court avoids a sweeping constitutional ruling at first, but permits discovery into communications with the White House, State Department and foreign officials.
Portfolio impact
S&P 5000.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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