Possible scenario
Litigation Drags On
25% Chance
The court process could stretch beyond the immediate fiscal deadline, especially if the Justice Department seeks expedited appellate review. This would keep affected agencies, foreign-aid implementers, and publicly funded media recipients in limbo without creating a broad market event.
Initial impacts
- Market volatility Up
Secondary impacts
- Business Services -0.1%
- Consumer Services -0.1%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500-0.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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