Possible scenario
Congress Cuts Deal
20% Chance
Congress may resolve part of the dispute through appropriations language rather than relying entirely on the courts. This is plausible because the GAO ruling gives lawmakers from both parties an institutional reason to defend Congress's spending authority.
Initial impacts
- Market volatility Down
Secondary impacts
- Business Services +0.1%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500+0.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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