Possible scenario
Washington Hesitates
18% Chance
The administration may slow-roll the request to avoid contradicting the earlier pullback from Houthi strikes. Legal reviews, congressional scrutiny, and concern over civilian harm could limit or delay any new role.
Initial impacts
- Market volatility Down
- Oil prices Down
Secondary impacts
- Industrials -0.4%
- Energy -0.2%
Tickers
- LMT-0.2%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500+0.1%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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