Possible scenario
Voter Skepticism Limits Uptake
20% Chance
Years of anti-mail-vote messaging continue to affect Republican voter behavior. Even with Trump now promoting mail voting for Republicans, some activists and voters remain wary of returning ballots before Election Day.
Initial impacts
- Riskier companies' borrowing costs Up
- Market volatility Up
Secondary impacts
- Consumer Cyclicals -0.1%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500-0.1%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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