Possible scenario
Fraud Claims Persist
27% Chance
Trump's promotion of GOP mail voting does not end his fraud allegations. The contradictory message keeps election-law disputes active and encourages campaigns to prepare litigation alongside turnout operations.
Initial impacts
- Market volatility Up
- Riskier companies' borrowing costs Up
- 10-year Treasury yield Down
Secondary impacts
- Consumer Cyclicals -0.1%
- Technology +0.1%
- Finance -0.1%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500-0.2%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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