Possible scenario
Premium Demand Returns
18% Chance
Demand proves stronger than expected as investors prioritize scarce exposure to frontier AI labs over near-term losses. This scenario would revive the earlier $2 trillion discussion, though the company would still likely avoid overpricing into its first public listing.
Secondary impacts
- Technology +1.3%
- Finance +0.3%
- Business Services +0.1%
Tickers
- AMZN+0.9%
- MSFT+0.2%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500+0.7%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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