Possible scenario
Deposit Contagion
−0.3%
The Ueno failure prompts depositors to reassess smaller and faster-growing lenders, creating deposit migration within Paraguay’s banking sector. This is a less likely but more disruptive outcome, especially if authorities do not communicate clearly under Vera Bogado’s new leadership.
What it moves
- Finance−0.6%
- Riskier companies' borrowing costs
- Market volatility
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