Possible scenario
Disruption Holds
45% Chance
Microsoft's Digital Crimes Unit and security teams keep EvilTokens' domains, phishing pages, and token-harvesting infrastructure offline. This is the most likely outcome because Microsoft's prior takedowns typically combine court orders, sinkholing, and continuous monitoring rather than a one-day removal.
Secondary impacts
- Technology +0.3%
Tickers
- MSFT+0.5%
- ZS+0.3%
- PANW+0.3%
- CRWD+0.3%
- OKTA+0.1%
- +0.1%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500+0.2%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
Keeping an eye on this scenario?
Tilt can alert you when its probability or impact shifts, or send you a recommendation when it crosses a threshold.