Possible scenario
Wind-Driven Escalation
18% Chance
A stronger wind event overwhelms early containment efforts and drives the fire into multiple drainages. This becomes a serious regional emergency, with larger evacuations, heavier insured losses, and sharper scrutiny of utility operations.
Secondary impacts
- Utilities -0.6%
- Finance -0.5%
- Consumer Services -0.5%
- Non-Energy Materials +0.1%
Tickers
- MCY-3.9%
- EIX-3.5%
- -1.4%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500-0.1%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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