Possible scenario
Moderate Fire Growth
30% Chance
The fire expands through dry fuels and difficult terrain but does not become a region-wide disaster. Evacuations broaden, some homes or vehicles are damaged, and utility inspections and insurance exposure become more relevant.
Secondary impacts
- Utilities -0.3%
- Finance -0.2%
- Consumer Services -0.2%
Tickers
- MCY-1.6%
- EIX-1.5%
- ALL-0.5%
- -0.3%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500-0.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
Keeping an eye on this scenario?
Tilt can alert you when its probability or impact shifts, or send you a recommendation when it crosses a threshold.