Possible scenario
Panel Gains Veto
42% Chance
Trump finalizes an order giving a White House-controlled panel authority to review and block a large share of NIH grants before award. The administration argues it is enforcing presidential priorities, while universities and biomedical groups warn of politicized peer review and delayed research funding.
Secondary impacts
- Healthcare -2.2%
- Business Services -0.6%
- Technology -0.4%
Tickers
- CRL-2.2%
- TMO-1.8%
- ILMN-1.7%
- -1.5%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500-0.4%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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