Possible scenario
Tunnel Nets Scale
38% Chance
Ukraine turns the successful tunnel-net interception into a wider battlefield engineering program along exposed logistics roads. The measure is cheap, quickly replicable, and consistent with the 2025-2026 trend toward old-school defenses against newer Russian drones.
Secondary impacts
- Industrials +0.1%
- Non-Energy Materials +0.1%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500+0.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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