Possible scenario
Reyes Tightens Oversight
45% Chance
Judge Ana C. Reyes keeps the case and uses the rejected recusal motion to move quickly into the merits. The most likely near-term path is an accelerated record, sworn declarations from National Park Service officials, and a narrow order preserving the status quo while the court tests DOJ's claim that the redesign is not final.
Portfolio impact
S&P 5000.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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