Possible scenario
Administration Escalates Appeal
25% Chance
The Trump administration treats the recusal rejection as part of a broader fight over judicial control of executive-branch project decisions. DOJ may seek mandamus or appeal-related relief from the D.C. Circuit, though such efforts face a high bar and may not halt district-court proceedings.
Portfolio impact
S&P 5000.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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