Possible scenario
Tactical Concession Stalls
25% Chance
The delisting proves to be a narrow U.S. concession designed to test Maduro’s willingness to negotiate. If Caracas does not follow with opposition concessions, the broader sanctions architecture remains intact.
Initial impacts
- Oil prices Up
Secondary impacts
- Energy +0.1%
Tickers
- CVX-0.2%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500-0.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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