Possible scenario
Credential Fight Fades
45% Chance
Rogers’s 'fake doctor' attack is treated mainly as a debate-night sound bite rather than a race-changing issue. Local and national fact-checkers confirm Abdul El-Sayed’s medical degree, and the campaign conversation returns to abortion, inflation, health care costs, and Michigan manufacturing.
Portfolio impact
S&P 5000.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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