Possible scenario
Case Drags On
20% Chance
The lawsuit could proceed slowly through motions, discovery, and evidentiary hearings, especially if Shkreli contests the factual basis for alleged violations. This is plausible given his past litigation posture and the procedural complexity of enforcing a lifetime industry ban.
Portfolio impact
S&P 5000.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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