Possible scenario
Localized Flood Damage
30% Chance
Rachel's rain bands stall long enough to produce localized urban and coastal flooding, similar in tone to the Newport Beach impacts from the previous day. Damage is meaningful for local insurers, utilities, roads, and hospitality, but not large enough to become a national macro shock.
Initial impacts
- Market volatility Up
Secondary impacts
- Consumer Services -0.6%
- Utilities -0.4%
- Finance -0.2%
- Non-Energy Materials +0.1%
Tickers
Portfolio impact
S&P 500-0.1%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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