Possible scenario
Probe Advances Anyway
30% Chance
Azerbaijan's denial does not materially alter the German criminal investigation. Prosecutors and parliamentary overseers keep examining whether Hanning or associates passed sensitive information or acted on behalf of Azerbaijani interests.
Secondary impacts
- Business Services -0.1%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500-0.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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