Possible scenario
Tax Is Shelved
25% Chance
The delay becomes a face-saving route to abandon the tax after industry objections and implementation concerns. This would be read as a win for crypto platforms and a sign that other states may hesitate before copying the Illinois model.
Initial impacts
- Bitcoin Up
Secondary impacts
- Finance +0.2%
- Technology +0.1%
Tickers
- COIN+1.7%
- +0.9%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500+0.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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