Possible scenario
Delayed Tax Proceeds
20% Chance
The postponement proves to be administrative rather than political, and Illinois implements the tax after building reporting rules. This outcome keeps Illinois as the first US test case for a state-level crypto transaction tax.
Initial impacts
- Bitcoin Down
Secondary impacts
- Finance -0.2%
- Technology -0.1%
Tickers
- COIN-1.9%
- -0.9%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500-0.1%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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