Possible scenario
Intermittent Disruptions
25% Chance
The East-West Pipeline remains operational, but Saudi authorities impose temporary slowdowns or inspections after additional security alerts. This outcome reflects persistent Houthi capability while stopping short of a major new outage.
Initial impacts
- Market volatility Up
- Oil prices Up
Secondary impacts
- Energy +0.3%
Tickers
- XOM+0.3%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500-0.1%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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