Possible scenario
GOP Feud Deepens
20% Chance
The Paxton campaign and Trump-aligned groups continue blaming Cornyn, Rove, and establishment donors before Election Day. The dispute becomes a national Republican power struggle, weakening field operations and fundraising in the final stretch.
Initial impacts
- Market volatility Up
- Riskier companies' borrowing costs Up
Portfolio impact
S&P 500-0.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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