Possible scenario
Plea Path Emerges
20% Chance
Given the severe allegations, a negotiated plea remains plausible if prosecutors can secure accountability without putting many children through trial testimony. This path would likely involve prison time, permanent loss of custody, and formal protective orders.
Portfolio impact
S&P 5000.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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